Photo : AFP
In a strategic move, Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba announced the dissolution of parliament on Wednesday, paving the way for snap elections scheduled for October 27. This decision comes shortly after Ishiba assumed office, as he aims to leverage his political honeymoon and capitalize on a divided opposition to secure a robust mandate for his scandal-embattled Liberal Democratic Party (LDP).
The LDP, which has maintained near-continuous governance in Japan for decades—despite frequent leadership changes—is anticipated to retain power. However, Ishiba's intention is to solidify his authority to implement key policies focused on increasing defense spending and addressing economic disparities in regions affected by Japan's demographic challenges.
"We want to face this election fairly and sincerely, so our government can earn public trust," Ishiba stated to reporters following the announcement.
The formal dissolution of parliament was marked by a ceremonial reading of a letter from Ishiba by the speaker of parliament, accompanied by the traditional rallying cry of "banzai" from lawmakers.
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Ishiba's predecessor, Fumio Kishida, experienced significant challenges, including a slush fund scandal that resulted in historically low approval ratings. Recent polls indicated that Ishiba’s cabinet approval ratings range between 45% to 50%, a marked improvement compared to the 20% to 30% approval ratings that plagued Kishida’s administration in its final month.
Political analysts suggest that Ishiba, who is known for his strong defense stance and candid criticism of the LDP establishment, seeks to revitalize the party's image, particularly among younger voters. According to political science professor Yu Uchiyama from the University of Tokyo, Ishiba’s timing for a snap election is aimed at testing the party's strength while the positive momentum from his recent leadership change is still present.
"Calling a snap election right after the leadership change makes sense as it leverages the current momentum," Uchiyama explained. He noted that Ishiba aims to catch opposition parties off guard, as they remain unsure about how to unify their efforts for the upcoming election.
However, some voters have expressed disappointment with Ishiba’s decision to call a snap election so early, viewing it as a retreat from his earlier commitment to engage with the opposition in parliamentary discourse. Critics argue that the move appears to prioritize party politics over public accountability.
In a bid to distance himself from the political funding scandal that marred the LDP’s reputation, Ishiba announced over the weekend that the party would not endorse certain disgraced members in the upcoming elections. This gesture is seen as an attempt to rebuild public trust.
In terms of policy, Ishiba has advocated for the establishment of a regional military alliance to counterbalance China's growing influence in Asia, likening his vision to NATO. He has emphasized that the security environment in Asia is currently more precarious than it has been since World War II, cautioning that "today's Ukraine could be tomorrow's East Asia."
Amidst Japan’s demographic crisis, which features an aging population and a low birth rate—issues Ishiba has labeled a "quiet emergency"—he has committed to supporting families through initiatives like flexible working hours and stimulating economic growth. His proposed measures include a new stimulus package aimed at increasing incomes, as well as additional support for local governments and low-income households.
Meanwhile, the primary opposition party, the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan, is seeking to set itself apart from the LDP by advocating for a range of diversity issues, including the legalization of same-sex marriages and allowing married couples to maintain separate surnames.
As Japan prepares for this pivotal election, Ishiba's government is focused on solidifying its mandate while navigating the complexities of the political landscape.
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