Photo : AP
A recent report from the Royal United Services Institute highlights a significant increase in Russia's production of artillery rounds, missiles, and drones since its invasion of Ukraine, despite extensive Western sanctions that have largely failed to curtail Moscow's military-industrial output. The report underscores that Russia has managed to ramp up production of critical weapons systems crucial for its ongoing conflict with Ukraine.
Before the invasion in 2021, Russia produced 56 Kh-101 cruise missiles annually. This figure skyrocketed to 460 missiles by the following year. Additionally, Russia's stockpile of Iskander ballistic missiles surged from approximately 50 before the invasion to 180, despite significant deployment on the battlefield, as noted in the report.
Key to Russia's ability to sustain this increased production is its reliance on imported micro-electronics, essential for manufacturing munitions used in missiles and drones. Despite Western sanctions aimed at cutting off these supplies, Russia has maintained access to critical components, including antennas crucial for bomb glide kits, sourced from an Irish company.
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The report criticizes Western decision-making for being overly cautious and highlights delays in intelligence sharing among allies as key factors hampering the effectiveness of sanctions. It argues that despite numerous sanctions imposed over the past two years, there is little tangible impact on Russia's military capabilities.
In response to ongoing developments, the U.S. Treasury Department recently announced further sanctions targeting foreign banks dealing with Russia's economy and restrictions on specific U.S.-made software and IT services exported to Russia. The report suggests that effective disruption of Russia's military-industrial complex could still be achieved through coordinated international efforts, including improved intelligence sharing and strategic export controls.
Proposals include establishing an intelligence fusion center to coordinate actions against Russia's defense industry and employing both overt and covert measures throughout the production process to increase costs and degrade quality. These steps, the report argues, could potentially undermine Russia's sustained increase in weapons production and its ability to support military operations in Ukraine.
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